Tuesday, March 3, 2015

McShay Post Combine Mock

I released my first IFFDA Mock Draft back in November and, at the time, it was just a general estimation of team needs & projected talent of the prospects. It is now the beginning of March and a lot of question marks have been cleared up as the combine has already taken place. Team rosters are taking shape, and holes need to be filled. There will still be one more mock that projects to be more accurate than this one, and that will happen once NFL free agency and rookie draft have taken place. Potential landing spots for these prospects will play a huge role in where they are drafted in the IFFDA Rookie Draft.

1. Cleveland Browns - RB Todd Gurley, Georgia
Almost every analyst across the land will tell you, had Gurley not torn his ACL last season, he would easily be the top prospect in this draft class among skill position players, and he still may be. It appears he will be good to go for the '15 season, and the fans in Cleveland would love to have him.

2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - WR Amari Cooper, Alabama
Ultimately I think Tampa Bay trades this pick and adds depth to their roster, but as it stands Cooper makes the most sense. Adding Cooper to a group with Evans and Hopkins could make noise for years to come. Yes, they have Torrey Smith & Keenan Allen too. Allen vastly underperformed last year, and Cooper is a more complete WR than Smith.

3. Buffalo Bills - RB Melvin Gordon, Wisconsin
The Bills went total rebuilding mode when they traded Calvin Johnson not too long ago, and Gordon would be a good fit here as the Bills roster is littered with question marks at RB. Steven Jackson and Ray Rice may not be in the league next year, we don't know where Ridley will end up, and the roles of Crowell and Freeman are very undefined at this point. My sources tell me, however, that Buffalo will draft best available here.

4. Cleveland Browns - WR DeVante Parker, Louisville
Parker is a very athletic, complete wide receiver, who many NFL circles predict will end up with his college running mate Teddy Bridgewater in Minnesota. A reunion bodes well (for both of them) and may be too good to pass up at this point.

5. Seattle Seahawks - WR Kevin White, West Virginia
Hard to imagine a guy who will likely be the number one wideout taken off the board in May falling to number five in the IFFDA draft. I love Kevin White as much as anyone, but hear me out. If NFL teams (especially the Raiders) always got it right, then there would be no misses. The pick would be too good for the 'Hawks to pass up here, but although White grades out across the board, there's still potential that we've all fallen victim to another workout warrior.

6. Denver Broncos - WR Jaelen Strong, Arizona State
With Anquan Boldin and Marques Colston the only two wideouts on the roster, you'd think the Broncos would snag the best available pass catcher here. You could argue DGB, but I don't think GM Ryan Branagin is one for taking chances on character issues. Strong has the potential to be the best receiver in the class when it's all said and done, and he's a safe pick here that fills a need.

7. Indianapolis Colts - WR Dorial Green-Beckham, Oklahoma
Right on time. He measured at the combine the exact same as Calvin Johnson. He put up a good 40-yard dash time, and had a good showing in drills. Then again, skill has never been in question with DGB. Colts GM Grandon Winningham has always been one to give guys chances (see: Josh Gordon) and there's no way he gets burnt twice, right? For a potential size, speed freak with superstar potential... the risk is worth the reward.

8. Arizona Cardinals - RB Ameer Abdullah, Nebraska
Although a running back is the most glaring need for the Cardinals, expect a few tears when Strong comes off the board before #8 followed by several trade offers inquiring about the Arizona State wide receiver. Abdullah plays bigger than he looks. He's a tough back with good hands, and depending on who takes him in May, might not be available here at 8 when the IFFDA draft takes place.

9. Chicago Bears - RB Jay Ajayi, Boise State
Some experts have been saying Ajayi grades out to be a better prospect than fellow Boise St. RB Doug Martin did when he came out for the draft. The "A-Train" could add depth to a Bears team that isn't exactly hurting at any one position. On the right team, he could be seeing playing time early on for Chicago.

10. Miami Dolphins - RB Duke Johnson, Miami (FLA)
Duke is just going to stay in the Florida sun and trade in one shade of green for another if that's okay with everyone? Size comes back into play with Johnson. Some teams view him as a 3rd down back, and some view him as a 3 down back. His landing spot in the NFL draft will be very telling of his professional role, which could effect his IFFDA draft status. In college, however, he was an every down back and one of the best in the country. He would immediately challenge Boom Herron and F-Jax to be Lacy's running mate.

11. Buffalo Bills - WR Nelson Agholor, USC
Agholor was one of the top prospects coming out of high school, and many project him to be a Golden Tate type in the NFL out of the slot. Although USC has yet to produce a productive NFL wideout in several years, I predict the Bills take their chances and continue to add youth next to Gordon (see pick 3) and Kelvin Benjamin who they acquired in an offseason trade with New England.

12. Carolina Panthers - RB Tevin Coleman, Indiana
It's no secret the Panthers front office likes Coleman... or any size, speed running back for that matter. They traded the #1 pick to add Sammy Watkins to their receiving group which includes John Brown, Cordarrelle Patterson, and Brandon LaFell, so it makes sense to throw another young back in the mix with Terrance West and Alfred Blue.

13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - WR Devin Smith, Ohio State
But, didn't you have Tampa Bay adding Cooper to an already crowded wide receiver group? Yes, yes I did. Smith grades out as the best remaining prospect on my board here, and frankly could be a steal at 13 if he proves to be more than a boom or bust player in the pros. Smith has been drawing comparisons to Torrey Smith, who the Bucs already have. So why not draft a cheaper version and now have trade bait to relieve cap space and add parts elsewhere?

14. Atlanta Falcons - RB David Cobb, Minnesota
Falcons are in "win now" mode. Cobb isn't much of a future prospect, but projects to come in and help an NFL team right away, regardless of where he ends up. He's arguably the most NFL ready back on the board, and the Falcons probably aren't looking to wait for impact at the position.

15. Detroit Lions - QB Marcus Mariota, Oregon
I'll wait until after the NFL draft to mock Jameis Winston here. If Mariota ends up in with Chip Kelly (as rumored) then I think the Lions have to take the fantasy upside of Mariota in that offense and the potential damage he can do running the ball. If he ends up anywhere else, then let's just say Winston to the Lions here. Who knows where Jay Cutler ends up next year, and if it's not with Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery, then I'd probably place my chips with another QB.

16. Indianapolis Colts - RB TJ Yeldon, Alabama
Vereen is a free agent, Sproles is a year older, CJ.5K just got cut which leaves Ivory as the only Colts running back with a somewhat defined role, and even his status is cloudy. A WR group of Jeffery, Fitzgerald, and DGB (see pick 7) appears solid, which leaves me to believe the Colts would address running back here. Yeldon runs high, but he's physical and talented. He has college production and played in a pro style offense at 'Bama. Taking him here would give the Indy backfield a much needed boost.

Tuesday, February 3, 2015

Duron Carter to Oakland?

On our Twitter feed (@_IFFDA ), we listed our Top 4 landing spots for CFL standout WR Duron Carter. Carter recently signed an NFL contract putting him on the IFFDA free agency map. He is the son of NFL Hall of Fame wide receiver Chris Carter. The list we were talking about looks like this:
Former CFL WR Duron Carter

5. Seattle Seahawks - GM Ryan Oldham has gone on record in saying that the 'Hawks have interest in Carter. They make the list for the simple fact that they have huge interest in the wideout, but they're at the bottom of the list because they may just simply not have the cap space to truly contend for Duron's services.

4. Carolina Panthers - The Panthers are not one of those teams (Seahawks) who want Carter but may not have the money to acquire him in August. General Manager Doug Auman has remained very mum on the upcoming plans and direction of the organization, and nobody knows what they'll do with the first overall pick, let alone if they're in the running for Carter.

3. Denver Broncos - They acquired WR Marques Colston in a trade with the Falcons, but you have to think at this point the former NFL 7th rounder is just a one to two year stop gap at the position. The only other wide receiver the Broncos have on the payroll is Anquan Boldin. With Boldin (34 years old) and Colston (31 years old) as their only two WR's and an estimated $120 in cap space, they should be major players in the Carter sweepstakes.

2. Buffalo Bills - After trading away Megatron to clear up a ton of cap space and getting much younger, the Bills will continue to look to build on a youthful foundation. Buffalo is also home to WR Reggie Wayne. If Wayne retires this offseason, look for the Bills to put that money to use by trying to acquire his replacement.

And the number one landing spot for free agent WR Duron Carter?

1. Oakland Raiders - The reigning IFFDA champions have a TON of cap space heading into the free agency period. If they want Carter or not remains to be seen, but if they do, they will be tough to compete with on the open market. With Jordy Nelson being the only stable piece to their receiver group heading into '15, surly the Raiders will be looking to add some talent at that position as they try to defend their title.

Saturday, January 24, 2015

Player Profile: Sammie Coates

Height: 6'2
Weight: 201
College: Auburn
Position: Wide Receiver

Career Stats:
2014 - 34 Rec / 741 Yards / 4 TD's
2013 - 42 Rec/ 902 Yards / 7 TD's
2012 - 6 Rec / 114 Yards / 2 TD's

"A physical specimen, Coates has the size (6-feet-2, 201 pounds) and speed (expected to run in the 4.3 range) to be a mismatch nightmare downfield. He has room to improve the details of the position, including his route running and how to use his body to leverage defenders. But above all, Coates needs to improve his concentration through the process of the catch to be more reliable securing grabs and eliminating the drops. There is no question he is unpolished, but the athletic traits, measureables and potential will be very attractive for NFL teams." - Dane Brugler, CBSSports.com

 "While Coates certainly has his limitations and his concerns, at the end of the day his size/speed/strength factors are simply too great to ignore. Coates has an NFL-ready frame with great straight-line speed and the athleticism to come down with contested catches. His hands are a definite concern, but if Coates can improve at high-pointing the football and gain separation more consistently as a route runner, some team is going to have themselves one heck of a receiver come draft weekend." - Jon Ledyard, ProFootballSpot.com

Projected NFL Draft Pick: Late 1st - Mid 2nd
Projected IFFDA Draft Pick: Mid 1st - Late 1st

NFL Comparison:
Hakeem Nicks

Player Profile: Mike Davis

Height: 5'9
Weight: 223
College: South Carolina
Position: Running Back

Career Stats:
2014 - 982 Rush Yards / 9 TD's / 32 Rec / 368 Rec Yards / 2 TD
2013 - 1,183 Rush Yards / 11 TD's / 34 Rec / 352 Rec Yards
2012 - 275 Rush Yards / 2 TD's / 4 Rec / 35 Rec Yards

"Davis has a good burst to hit the hole before it opens and accelerates to the second level of the defense. He has a nice gear to break into the open field, but he doesn't have breakaway speed to score on any carry. Davis has surprising quickness for a big runner and can pull away from some defenders, but NFL defensive backs will be able to chase him down at times." - Charlie Campbell, WalterFootball.com

  "Mike Davis is the kind of RB prospect that can get overlooked or undervalued in the draft process. He's a shorter, bowling-ball type body with a 'vanilla' name (and yes, that does factor in on a certain level). He's a lunch pail and hard hat type RB prospect, but that sells him short of what a true all-around, naturally gifted, three-down player he is." - RC Fischer, ProFootballSpot.com

Projected NFL Draft Pick: Mid 2nd - Mid 3rd
Projected IFFDA Draft Pick: Late 1st - Mid 2nd

NFL Comparison:
Frank Gore

Player Profile: Tony Lippett


Height: 6'3 
Weight:
185
College: Michigan State
Position: Wide Receiver

Career Stats:
2014 - 65 Rec / 1,198 Yards / 11 TD's
2013 - 44 Rec/ 613 Yards / 2 TD's
2012 - 36 Rec / 392 Yards / 2 TD's
2011 - 4 Rec / 44 Yards

"Unlike most athletes with his height, the 6-foot-3, 185 pound Lippett is a fluid athlete, capable of changing directions and accelerating smoothly to handle coverage responsibilities. Given the way the value teams are placing on long, lanky cornerbacks in today's NFL, Lippett's pro future could lie on that side of the ball although he was the Big Ten's leading receiver." - Rob Rung, CBSSports.com

 "From a route running aspect, he can  join an NFL team and be ready to contribute. He shows the smarts to set up defenders and get himself open and in the proper position to catch the ball.  Physically though, he has a ways to go. I am afraid he is going to struggle at maintaining his route discipline when corners get their hands on him.  I also think he may be better suited as a more possession type receiver in the Brandon LaFell mold.  He is a long strider but I do not see elite speed to be a downfield threat on a consistent basis." - Chris Burk, Sports Illustrated

Projected NFL Draft Pick: Early 3rd - Early 4th
Projected IFFDA Draft Pick: Late 2nd - Undrafted

NFL Comparison:
Brandon LaFell

Player Profile: Tyler Lockett

Height: 5'10  
Weight: 180
College:
Kansas State
Position: Wide Receiver

Career Stats:
2014 - 106 Rec / 1,515 Yards / 11 TD's
2013 - 81 Rec/ 1,262 Yards / 11 TD's
2012 - 44 Rec / 687 Yards / 4 TD's
2011 - 18 Rec / 246 Yards / 3 TD's

"Arguably the top wideout in the conference, Lockett doesn't look like much, but he runs like the wind with sudden footwork in his breaks to create separation before, during and after the catch. He is a smaller target with a limited overall catching radius and smaller hands that will lead to double catches and him fighting the ball at times. However, Lockett is very dangerous in space, using his quick, decisive feet to sell routes and speed to stretch the field and take the top off a defense." - Dan Brugler, CBSSports.com

 "Lockett's NFL prospects will be limited by his size. A few costly drops here and there won't help either -- against Auburn, he turned a touchdown into an interception by failing to corral the football. Out of the slot and especially in the return game, though, Lockett has enough juice to impress an NFL team. He may not be Devin Hester, but the overall package is similar." - Chris Burk, Sports Illustrated

Projected NFL Draft Pick: Late 2nd - Mid 3rd
Projected IFFDA Draft Pick: 2nd Round

NFL Comparison:
Danny Amendola

Player Profile: Jamison Crowder

Height: 5'8
Weight: 175
College: Duke
Position: Wide Receiver

Career Stats:
2014 - 85 Rec / 1,044 Yards / 6 TD's
2013 - 108 Rec/ 1,360 Yards / 8 TD's
2012 - 76 Rec / 1,074 Yards / 8 TD's
2011 - 14 Rec / 163 Yards / 1 TD

"Crowder is an exciting, dynamic football player who is talented enough to win at all levels of the field. For a player with limited size, Crowder is still able to beat press coverages and get off the line of scrimmage with quick and shifty moves into his route. He has outstanding burst and acceleration off the line and can blow by defensive backs to take the top off a defense. He tracks the ball well downfield and is a big-play threat." - Rob Rang, CBSSports.com

 "Crowder is a sneaky good athlete that draws comparisons to Wes Welker for good reason. He may not have the elite long speed that some guys his size do, but he gets the job done by playing a very crafty game inside the numbers. At the end of the day, it’s impossible to overlook his production at Duke and the role he played on an offense that needed every bit of help it could get." - Joe Wedra, NFLMocks.com

Projected NFL Draft Pick: Mid 3rd - Early 4th
Projected IFFDA Draft Pick: Mid 2nd - Undrafted

NFL Comparison:
Brandin Cooks